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Is the 4 Year Cycle Done For?

GM. This is the Never Die Newsletter, where I share whatever crypto news and content I feel like, every week, short and sweet, right to your beautiful little inbox.
This week we have:
🎙️Hot Off the Mic: A Deep Dive Into Trump’s Tariff
🎥 Latest Episode: Is the 4 Year Crypto Cycle Over?
📰News: Circle Files for IPO
🌟Narrative of the week: Liberation Day

NEWS📰
🏦 Circle Files For IPO
Circle, USDC’s issuer, filed to go public on the NYSE as CRCL. It made $1.67B in 2024 but profits fell due to high payments to Coinbase. Over 99% of revenue came from USDC reserves and remains the second-largest stablecoin behind Tether.
📉 FDUSD Loses Its Peg
FDUSD briefly depegged after Justin Sun claimed its issuer, First Digital, was insolvent. First Digital denied it, called it a smear campaign, and said FDUSD is fully backed. They plan legal action and reaffirmed their commitment to transparency using onchain proof of reserves.
🔨 EigenLayer to Start Slashing Restakers in April
EigenLayer will launch slashing on April 17 taking its final step toward a full restaking model. This upgrade lets node operators opt in to be penalized for poor performance but rewarded for good service. Over 30 AVSs already use EigenLayer, which aims to secure Web3 apps and later expand beyond crypto.
🔜 Paul Atkins Moves Closer to SEC Chair Role
Paul Atkins is one step closer to leading the SEC after the Senate Banking Committee approved his nomination in a 13–11 vote. Picked by Trump to replace Gary Gensler, Atkins is expected to bring more crypto friendly policies.
🇺🇸 US Lawmakers Push Forward Anti-CBDC Bill
The US House Financial Services Committee passed bills to regulate stablecoins and block federal banks from issuing CBDCs. The CBDC Anti-Surveillance State Act was approved 27-22, with broad support, aiming to prevent the Federal Reserve from creating a digital dollar.
Is the 4 Year Crypto Cycle Over?
In this week’s video, I break down my 100 hour deep dive into macro data to predict Bitcoin’s all-time high. From liquidity and credit cycles to Fed rates and business cycles, I explore what really drives the 4 year cycle. Is it the halving, liquidity, or something else? Here’s what I found.
A Deep Dive Into Trump’s Tariff
In this episode, I break down Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs, what they mean for crypto, it’s bear case, liquidity, macro trends, and more.
Recession Incoming?
In this episode, I dig into the global recession talk. Trump just dropped his Liberation Day tariffs, markets are tanking, and people are calling for a big crash. Is it real? And what does it mean for crypto? I break down what’s really going on.
Narrative Of The Week: Liberation Day
President Trump’s tariff policy announcement triggered market swings and raised concerns about inflation and a potential global trade war. Here’s the breakdown:

The Tariff Bombshell: Trump’s Reciprocal Tariffs Liberation Day unveiled a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, with increased tariffs for countries like China (34%) and the EU (20%). These tariffs are set to go live on April 9, 2025, aiming to address trade imbalances and boost U.S. manufacturing.
Market Reaction: The immediate fallout saw U.S. stocks tumble, Dow down 4%, S&P 500 dropped 5%, and Nasdaq fell 6%. Global indices like Japan’s Nikkei and European markets also suffered. The stock market recorded it’s worst day over the last 4 years.
Crypto Impact: Bitcoin dropped 3.9%, and ether fell 5.2%, alongside crypto stocks like Coinbase losing 7.7%.
These tariffs could fuel inflation and increase the risk of a recession. However, the long term outlook for crypto keeps getting brighter. If the economy shows signs of cracking, the FED is likely to step in to prevent a full-blown recession
AIRDROPS 🪂
To Claim:
Kaito (X Yappers)
Particle (Particle Pioneer Users)
Hyperlane (Registration to claim ends April 14th, Claim starts on the 20th )
Initia (milkTIA and NFT holders)
To Farm:
Sonic: Formerly Fantom
Backpack: Spot and Futures Trading
Symbiotic: Restaking your ETH
Dolomite: Defi Looping
Contango: Defi Looping
SOME TWEETS
The Only Indicator That Actually Matters Right Now in Crypto w/ @Jesseeckel
Bitcoin at $169K by year-end is still on the table. Want the macro clues behind it?
Tune in to know more
⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱
00:00 - Intro
01:14 - Have we finally hit the bottom?
04:03 - Why— Milk Road (@MilkRoadDaily)
7:54 PM • Apr 1, 2025
Here's your gaming update 🔺
- @ForgotPlayland crosses 100,000 downloads
- $GUN by @GUNbyGUNZ goes live on Avax C-chain
- @spellbornegame launches their Easter update
- @playSHRAPNEL partners with the Chinese government to launch on their RWA chain— M🔺SH (@Mash_CT)
7:40 PM • Apr 3, 2025
JUST IN 🚨: 10-Year Treasury Yield falls below 4% for the first time since October
— Barchart (@Barchart)
4:01 AM • Apr 4, 2025
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 SEC acknowledges filing for Fidelity's spot Solana $SOL ETF.
— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru)
5:36 PM • Apr 3, 2025
March was a big month. Lets cover everything that took place for MegaETH. 🧵
$ sudo decrypt mar.log -m recent
> INITIALIZING...
> ACCESSING SYSTEM MEMORY...
> DECODING MARCH 2025 EVENTS...
> CONNECTION ESTABLISHED █— MegaETH (@megaeth_labs)
12:45 PM • Mar 31, 2025
Want a sneak peak at where Global M2 is headed?
Look at the DXY.
Bitcoin to follow in 3 months.
— Matt (@matt_utxo)
2:27 PM • Apr 3, 2025
MEME OF THE WEEK

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