Is the 4 Year Cycle Done For?

GM. This is the Never Die Newsletter, where I share whatever crypto news and content I feel like, every week, short and sweet, right to your beautiful little inbox.

This week we have:

  • 🎙️Hot Off the Mic: A Deep Dive Into Trump’s Tariff

  • 🎥 Latest Episode: Is the 4 Year Crypto Cycle Over?

  • 📰News: Circle Files for IPO

  • 🌟Narrative of the week: Liberation Day

Joe Biden Deal With It GIF by The Democrats
Crypto Market Overview
👻
Crypto Market Overview
GLOBAL MARKET CAP
$2.64T
4.17% (7d)
24H MARKET VOLUME
$99.01B
27.47% (24h)
BITCOIN'S DOMINANCE
62.06%
FEAR & GREED INDEX
25
Fear
Top Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin (BTC)
$83,253.27
2.08% (7d)
Ethereum (ETH)
$1,797.54
4.71% (7d)

Data as of April 4, 2025 1pm UTC

NEWS📰

  1. 🏦 Circle Files For IPO

    Circle, USDC’s issuer, filed to go public on the NYSE as CRCL. It made $1.67B in 2024 but profits fell due to high payments to Coinbase. Over 99% of revenue came from USDC reserves and remains the second-largest stablecoin behind Tether.

  2. 📉 FDUSD Loses Its Peg

    FDUSD briefly depegged after Justin Sun claimed its issuer, First Digital, was insolvent. First Digital denied it, called it a smear campaign, and said FDUSD is fully backed. They plan legal action and reaffirmed their commitment to transparency using onchain proof of reserves.

  3. 🔨 EigenLayer to Start Slashing Restakers in April

    EigenLayer will launch slashing on April 17 taking its final step toward a full restaking model. This upgrade lets node operators opt in to be penalized for poor performance but rewarded for good service. Over 30 AVSs already use EigenLayer, which aims to secure Web3 apps and later expand beyond crypto.

  4. 🔜 Paul Atkins Moves Closer to SEC Chair Role

    Paul Atkins is one step closer to leading the SEC after the Senate Banking Committee approved his nomination in a 13–11 vote. Picked by Trump to replace Gary Gensler, Atkins is expected to bring more crypto friendly policies.

  5. 🇺🇸 US Lawmakers Push Forward Anti-CBDC Bill

    The US House Financial Services Committee passed bills to regulate stablecoins and block federal banks from issuing CBDCs. The CBDC Anti-Surveillance State Act was approved 27-22, with broad support, aiming to prevent the Federal Reserve from creating a digital dollar.

Is the 4 Year Crypto Cycle Over?

In this week’s video, I break down my 100 hour deep dive into macro data to predict Bitcoin’s all-time high. From liquidity and credit cycles to Fed rates and business cycles, I explore what really drives the 4 year cycle. Is it the halving, liquidity, or something else? Here’s what I found.

A Deep Dive Into Trump’s Tariff

In this episode, I break down Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs, what they mean for crypto, it’s bear case, liquidity, macro trends, and more.

Recession Incoming?

In this episode, I dig into the global recession talk. Trump just dropped his Liberation Day tariffs, markets are tanking, and people are calling for a big crash. Is it real? And what does it mean for crypto? I break down what’s really going on.

Narrative Of The Week: Liberation Day

President Trump’s tariff policy announcement triggered market swings and raised concerns about inflation and a potential global trade war. Here’s the breakdown:

The Tariff Bombshell: Trump’s Reciprocal Tariffs Liberation Day unveiled a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, with increased tariffs for countries like China (34%) and the EU (20%). These tariffs are set to go live on April 9, 2025, aiming to address trade imbalances and boost U.S. manufacturing.

Market Reaction: The immediate fallout saw U.S. stocks tumble, Dow down 4%, S&P 500 dropped 5%, and Nasdaq fell 6%. Global indices like Japan’s Nikkei and European markets also suffered. The stock market recorded it’s worst day over the last 4 years.

Crypto Impact: Bitcoin dropped 3.9%, and ether fell 5.2%, alongside crypto stocks like Coinbase losing 7.7%.

These tariffs could fuel inflation and increase the risk of a recession. However, the long term outlook for crypto keeps getting brighter. If the economy shows signs of cracking, the FED is likely to step in to prevent a full-blown recession

AIRDROPS 🪂

To Claim:

Kaito (X Yappers)
Particle (Particle Pioneer Users)
Hyperlane (Registration to claim ends April 14th, Claim starts on the 20th )
Initia (milkTIA and NFT holders)


To Farm:

Sonic: Formerly Fantom
Backpack: Spot and Futures Trading
Symbiotic: Restaking your ETH
Dolomite: Defi Looping
Contango: Defi Looping

 SOME TWEETS

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Bryan Cranston Mic Drop GIF